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Writer's pictureKrishna Sridhar

Driving Growth: The Interplay of Macroeconomics and AI 3.0

Updated: Feb 23



As the Gen AI revolution gains momentum, propelled initially by Data AI, the AI community is now advancing rapidly towards integrating reasoning and paving the way for AGI and even ASI in the coming years.


Amidst this surge, AI, including ChatGPT and generative AI, dominates conversations, stirring excitement across social media platforms. While some perceive AI as operating autonomously, detached from broader economic influences, a more nuanced perspective recognizes its deep interconnection with societal and economic shifts. Understanding this relationship is crucial for harnessing AI's potential to usher in substantial socio-economic benefits.

A Fresh Perspective on Relationship between Economics and rise of Generative AI Assistants

This article highlights the evolution of AI across two generations, shaped by macroeconomic trends over the past four decades. We emphasize the growing need for a third generation of AI, driven by emerging macroeconomic shifts.


We posit that the first two generations primarily focused on enhancing profitability in financial and commercial sectors, overlooking production sectors like manufacturing and agriculture, which have seen a decline in profitability as a result.


We claim that the need for the profitability of the manufacturing sector will drive the further development of the third generation of AI. Generative AI 3.0 will integrate the power of learning and reasoning giving rise to AI Assistants, empowering the development of both process and robotic assistants to enhance productivity and streamline workflows for the manufacturing sector.


Economic Factors Influencing AI development for Commerce and Finance (1970-2020)

To comprehend the evolution of AI, we believe that it's crucial to examine its relationship with economic shifts. Over the past four decades, three notable trends have emerged:


Firstly, large-scale production has migrated to regions with lower labor costs, exemplified by China's transformation into a manufacturing powerhouse.


Secondly, certain regions have maintained their economic strength by relying on skilled labor and small to medium-scale enterprises, as seen in the success of Germany's Mittelstand.


Lastly, there has been a shift in focus towards profitability, with some regions transitioning from production to commerce and finance. The UK's industrialization and emphasis on commercial and financial sectors illustrate this trend.


Initially, these economic shifts sustained production profitability without the need for advanced AI. However, as returns diminished due to intense global competition, investments shifted towards finance and commerce. Consequently, major AI research efforts now primarily target commerce and finance sectors, led by tech giants like Google and Facebook.


Understanding these economic dynamics provides valuable insights into the evolution of AI generations.


First Generation of AI (1970-2000)

The first wave of AI, known as expert systems, emerged to address the need for enhanced operational flexibility and high-value goods within the global supply chain. This era was closely linked to the introduction of computers, which revolutionized software development. Companies like IBM, HP, and Microsoft played pivotal roles by developing hardware and operating systems. Expert system software replaced manual processes, boosting efficiency in back-office operations. Despite early successes, the limitations of 'Knowledge AI' became apparent over time, particularly in tasks requiring perceptual capabilities.



Second Generation of AI (2000-2020)

The second wave of AI, driven by the need for internet-driven commerce, saw the emergence of machine learning algorithms. The internet's global connectivity facilitated rapid communication and information access, fueling the growth of platforms like Google and Amazon. This era witnessed the rise of big data, prompting innovations in hardware to handle vast amounts of information. The 'deep-learning revolution' of Data AI capitalized on this, enhancing the efficiency of financial and commercial sectors. However, it became evident that purely data-driven AI systems had limitations in scaling for diverse use cases, particularly those requiring domain-specific knowledge. By 2020, companies recognized the shortcomings of a Big Data approach in industries where physical activities are prominent.


New Economic Need to Boost Profitability of Manufacturing

The urgency for manufacturing to attain profitability has never been more critical. As global competition intensifies and production costs rise, manufacturing sectors face immense pressure to innovate and streamline operations. This imperative underscores the necessity for manufacturing to adopt highly efficient and automated processes to remain economically viable in today's competitive landscape.


Third Generation of AI Assistants for Boosting Manufacturing Profitability

he advent of the third generation of AI responds to the pressing economic need for profitability in manufacturing by merging the strengths of Knowledge AI and Data AI into AI Assistants. These Gen AI Assistants excel at predictive analysis, leveraging vast text data to anticipate trends. Furthermore, they harness human-like reasoning, positioning themselves as revolutionary co-workers.


In the realm of manufacturing, AI Assistants usher in a new era. They facilitate seamless communication across departments and streamline cognitive workflows, optimizing processes from procurement to sales. Their ability to comprehend and optimize production flows enhances efficiency, paving the way for operational excellence.


Unlike traditional software solutions, AI Assistants offer a cost-effective and versatile approach to enhancing operations. Their capacity to perform complex tasks with ease and adaptability across diverse departments ensures increased effectiveness and innovation. With the potential for significantly higher ROI, AI Assistants emerge as indispensable tools for businesses striving for success in today's competitive landscape.

Strategic Importance of the Generative AI 3.0

The introduction of third-generation AI holds profound socioeconomic implications, particularly in sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and urban ecosystems. By leveraging third-gen AI, we anticipate substantial enhancements in labor productivity and profitability.


This paradigm shift in AI will greatly improve operational efficiency within production processes, ultimately reducing the reliance on low-skilled labor. This transition not only empowers a skilled workforce but also lays the foundation for economic democracies, fostering socioeconomic prosperity.


Recognizing the strategic importance of third-gen AI, SPARSA AI urges stakeholders across various sectors to embrace this transformative technology. We encourage policymakers, enterprises, startups, investors, and researchers to proactively engage with the evolving trends in AI. Together, we can foster the emergence of platforms and ecosystems that drive innovation and progress.


We invite discussions on the topic of third-generation AI and are committed to providing support in your journey towards its realization.

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